SVB and bank capital, revisited
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Financial stability research notes, without introduction or specified cadence. Each one may be the last. Email for fund/bank advisory services.
Associate Director of Research, Yale Program on Financial Stability. steven.kelly@yale.edu
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SVB and bank capital, revisited
Bank capital matters too much to be left to a ratio — Via FTAV
As a financial crisis starts receding from view, so begins the time-consuming analysis of 10Ks and 10Qs to determine the cause.
But crises happen in 8Ks — the normally innocuous ad hoc filings that also accompany company emergencies — not 10Ks. Ex post analysis too often ignores the way markets assessed and triggered a crisis in real time, and instead finds a way to back into the answer in Excel. The 2023 bank crisis really began when Silicon Valley Bank filed an 8K on March 8 suggesting its business was less viable than hoped at this point in the macroeconomic cycle…
Continue reading at the Financial Times Alphaville here (no paywall; only email registration required). Thanks to Alex Scaggs for the excellent editing.